Second ADAPT Symposium on Advanced Understanding, Monitoring and Prediction of Weather, Climate and Environmental systems

Co-Chairs: Richard Alley, Xingchao Chen, Steven Greybush and Fuqing Zhang
Meeting Assistants: Zhifang Chen (zhifangc@gmail.com)
Dates: December 16-18, 2018
Location: Rm112 Walker Building, Pennsylvania State University, State College, Pennsylvania

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Tentative Agenda

Guest wifi: PSU guest wifi "attwifi"
Work Lunch: 12:10pm - 1:30pm (Monday and Tuesday)
Dinner Reception: 6:00pm-8:pm( Sunday and Monday)
Free Coffee : Available in the event

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DAY 1, Sunday, Decmber 16

1:30 - 3:00 Session 1: Tropical cyclones and tropical convection I (15-min talk each)
Welcome remarks (Fuqing Zhang)
Sourav Taraphdar (NYU, 20-min invited): Sensitivity of Monsoon Precipitation on local Evaporation using a Cloud permitting model
James Ruppert (PSU): Propagating diurnal convection in the Maritime Continent during DYNAMO
Joseph Chan (PSU): Real data EnKF experiments of an MJO event at gray zone resolution
Robert Nystrom (PSU): Uncertainty in the air-sea flux parametrization concerning modulation of the energetics of Hurricane Patricia (2015)
Keenan Eure (PSU): Physical Mechanisms of Tropical Cyclone Intensification in Environments with Temporally Varying Vertical Wind Shear
Chris Yu (PSU): Hurricane boundary layer structure diagnosed from SEF composite analysis
Dan Wu (CMA/PSU): Evaluation of microphysics parameterization schemes for tropical cyclone simulations with dual-pol radar observations

3:30-5:15 Session 2: New algorithms and new dimensions I (15-min talk each)
Hans Chen (Lund/PSU, 20-min invited): Monitoring Earth's carbon cycle and human fossil fuel emissions with the help of advanced data assimilation methods
Jie He (NUIST/PSU): Development and Evaluation of an Ensemble-based data assimilation System for Regional Reanalysis over the Tibetan Plateau and Surrounding Regions
Hart Gillespie (PSU): Exploration of the Mars Polar Atmosphere Using the Mars Climate Sounder (MCS) and the Ensemble Mars Atmosphere Reanalysis System (EMARS)
Jiaolan Fu (CMA/PSU): Object-oriented composite analysis of warm-sector rainfall in China
Moussa Gueye (PSU): Rainfall forecasting and its impact on infectious disease in the developing world: case of Uganda
Jon Seibert (PSU): Preliminary Applications of the Geometry-Sensitive Ensemble Mean for Lake-Effect Snowbands
Rachel Zheng (PSU/IST): Detecting Comma-Shaped Clouds for Severe Weather Forecasting Using Shape and Motion

6:00 All participants' dinner reception at Fuqing’s house: 2338 Saratoga Drive, State College, PA 16801

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DAY 2, Monday, Decmber 17 (keynotes 30 min each, others invited talks 20 min each)

8:00 - 9:50 Session 3: Tropical cyclones and tropical convection II
Jenni Evans (PSU/ICS, keynote): Importance of interdisciplinarity for addressing societally critical problems
Anthony Didlake (PSU): Asymmetric Aspects of Secondary Eyewall Formation in Tropical Cyclones
Erin Munsell (NASA): GOES-16 Observations of Rapidly-Intensifying Tropical Cyclones: Hurricanes Harvey, Maria, and Michael
Christopher Melhauser (Scor Reinsurance): North Atlantic Hurricane Clustering: A Reinsurance Perspective
Kun Zhao (NJU, keynote): Precipitation Microphysics Characteristics of Typhoons in China

10:20-12:10 Session 4: Boundary layer and surface processes
Dave Stensrud (PSU, keynote): An Overview of Penn State and Polarimetric Radar Sampling of the Convective Boundary LayerDAPT Center 2018 Symposium
Ning Zhang (NJU): Numerical studies of urbanization impacts on boundary layer structure and regional climate
Ying Pan (PSU): How long takes turbulence to forget?
Jun Zhang (NOAA/HRD): Observed diurnal variation of the boundary layer structure in mature hurricanes
Eugene Clothiaux (PSU): Contributions to the Surface Downwelling Longwave Irradiance during an Arctic Winter
12:10-1:30 Work lunch provided

1:30 - 3:30 Session 5: Atmospheric composition and chemistry
Xuemei Wang (JNU, keynote): Development and Implementation of an Air Quality Prediction System in China
Min Xie (NJU): Surface ozone pollution and the meteorological influences in the Yangtze River Delta region, China
Jose Fuentes (PSU): Transport and chemistry of plant-emitted gases in the central Amazonia
Mengmeng Li (NJU): Improved meteorology and ozone air quality simulations using MODIS land surface parameters in the YRD urban cluster
Ken Davis (PSU, keynote): Field campaigns, observational analysis and modeling activities under Atmospheric Carbon Transport – America (ACT-A)

4:00 - 6:00 Session 6: Large-scale, climate and coupled systems
Weidong Guo (NJU, keynote): Studies of land-atmosphere interactions related to land use/cover changes
Yang Zhang (NJU): On the role of external forcing in the extra-tropical annular variability
Melissa Gervais (PSU): The importance of the North Atlantic warming hole for future changes in the variability of the North Atlantic jet
Mingsong Li (PSU/geoscience): Data assimilation and observation impacts for the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum reanalysis and parameter estimation
Richard Alley (PSU/geoscience, keynote): Near-certainties and large unknowns: An update on ice sheets and sea level

6:00-8:00pm Dinner Reception at the Myers Weather Center, Walker building

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DAY 3, Tuesday Dec 18th (keynotes 30 min each, others invited talks 20 min each)

8:00 - 9:50 Session 7: Tropical cyclones and tropical convection III
Olivier Pauluis (NYU, keynote): Atmospheric heat engines from convection to the global circulation
Shuguang Wang (Columbia/NJU): Predicting MJO winds, convection and rain
Xingchao Chen (PSU): Regional simulation and Isentropic Analysis of Indian summer monsoon intraseasonal oscillations
Xiaomin Chen (NRC/HRD): Structural Changes Leading to Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones under Different Sea Surface Temperatures
Dandan Tao (CSU): Evaluation of self-stratification assumptions in steady-state tropical cyclone outflow using 3-D simulation

10:20-12:10 Session 8: New algorithms and new dimensions II Jon Poterjoy (UMD, keynote): Weather analysis and prediction using the local particle filter
Masashi Minamide (NASA/JPL): On the Predictability of Tropical Cyclones through All-sky Infrared Satellite Radiance Assimilation
Yunji (Jerry) Zhang (PSU): Simultaneous assimilation of WSR-88D radar and all-sky GOES-16 ABI infrared radiance observations using EnKF for severe thunderstorm prediction
Scott Sieron (PSU): Assimilation of GPM and other Satellites' All-sky Microwave Radiances for Hurricane Prediction
Yinghui Lu (PSU): Ensemble assimilation of hyperspectral satellite observations with data compression and dimension reduction using principle component analysis

12:10-1:30 Work lunch provided

1:30 - 3:30 Session 9: New algorithms and new dimensions III
Jim Carton (UMD, keynote): Data assimilation and reanalysis for the ocean circulations
Tse-chun Chen (UMD): Applications of EFSO for improving NWP
Kelly Ryan (NOAA/HRD): Optimizing Data Assimilation and Observing System Design for Tropical Cyclones at NOAA/AOML
Steven Greybush (PSU): The Ensemble Mars Atmosphere Reanalysis System (EMARS) and the Mars Year 34 Global Dust Storm
Steve Schiff (PSU/Hersey, keynote): Meteorology, Infections, and Neurosurgery: Towards Predictive Public Health

4:00 - 6:00 Session 10: New algorithms and new dimensions IV
Zhaohua Wu (FSU, keynote): Spectral Analysis of a Time Series: from Additive Perspective to Multiplicative Perspective
John Harlim (PSU/math): Parameter estimation using the linear response statistics
Michael Ying (NCAR): Developing a Scale-Aware Scheme for the Ensemble Filtering of Geophysical Flows
Jia Li (PSU/stats): Geometry-sensitive ensemble mean based on Wasserstein barycenters
Alex Kowaleski (PSU): Exploring the Extratropical Transition of Hurricane Sandy using Mixture-Model Clustering of Ensemble Simulations

Richard Alley and Fuqing Zhang (PSU, concluding remarks)

6:00 Meeting Adjourn