Co-chairs: Richard Alley and Fuqing Zhang
Penn State Center for Advanced Data Assimilation and Predictability Techniques (ADAPT)
Toftrees Golf Resort, State College, Pennsylvania
23-24 May 2016
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Accommodation and meeting package information are available through the link.
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Tentative agenda (30-min keynote talks in Bold, others are 20-min invited talks)
Guest wifi available
All meeting package meals are in the Aspen Room (right side of the Field)
Breakfast: 7:00am - 8:15am
Lunch: 12:00pm - 1:30pm
Dinner: 7:30pm - 9:00pm on Monday, 6:30pm - 7:30pm on Tuesday, Thursday
Banquet: 6:30pm - 9:00pm on Wednesday
Day 1, Monday, May 23
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8:00am opening remarks and introduction (session chair: Fuqing Zhang)
Neil Sharkey, Vice President for Research, Penn State University
Eva Zanzerkia, Program Director for EarthCube, National Science Foundation
8:30-9:50am Biosphere, geochemistry, and carbon science (session chair: Richard Alley)
Steven Wofsy (Harvard, member of US National Academies): Quantifying, understanding, and predicting atmospheric emissions of greenhouse gases: The challenge of synthesis spanning spatial and temporal scales up to 10^8
Susan Brantley (PSU, Director of EESI, member of US National Academies): The Susquehanna-Shale Hills Critical Zone Observatory (CZO): Understanding of the critical zone where rock, soil, water, air and living organisms interact and shape Earth's surface
Ken Davis (PSU meteorology): Big data, big uncertainties and big challenges in carbon cycle science (pdf slides)
10:20-11:30am Land surface, hydrology, air quality and human health (session chair: David Stensrud)
Soroosh Sorooshian (UC Irvine, member of US National Academies): Challenges and Limitations of Hydroclimatological Forecasting and information for Water Resources Management and Future Prospects (pdf slides)
Gregory Jenkins (Director of ASEDA, PSU): Predictive state of weather hazards (dust, MCSs and tropical cyclones) for West Africa and Cape Verde (pdf slides)
Yuning Shi (PSU ESSI): Towards improved high-resolution land surface hydrologic reanalysis using a physically-based land surface hydrologic model and data Assimilation (pdf slides)
11:30am-12:00pm Open discussion
12:00pm-01:30pm Lunch
1:30-3:00pm Nature disasters: Hurricanes, tornadoes and earthquakes (session chair: Jenni Evans)
Kerry Emanuel (MIT, member of US National Academies): Predicting the evolution of hurricane risk with climate change (pdf slides)
Fuqing Zhang (PSU meteorology): Analysis, prediction and predictability of tropical cyclones
Paul Markowski (PSU meteorology): Tornado formation: What we know and don't know (pdf slides)
Chuck Ammon (PSU geoscience): Don't miss anything - Exploring and analyzing earth's vibrations
3:30-4:50pm Paleoclimate, climate change and social impacts (session chair: Heather Archambault, NOAA)
Deliang Chen (Member of Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Sweden): Regional climate change in Tibet: past and future (pdf slides)
Katherine Freeman (PSU, member of US National Academies): Biomarkers for terrestrial plants and climate (pdf slides)
Klaus Keller (Director of SCRiM, PSU): Quantifying uncertainties surrounding climate projections to improve decision making
4:50-5:20 first day open discussion
5:30-7:00pm Bus ride to tour and reception at Penn State Myers Weather Center, Walker Building
Free parking near Walker Building is available in bus terminal (Red A parking lot near Fullington Trailways)
7:30-9:00pm Dinner (and ADAPT center advisory board meeting 1) back at the Toftrees Resort
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Day 2, Tuesday, May 24 (overlapped with the 7th Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation Workshop, May 24-27)
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8:00-8:50am Cryosphere, ocean and climate change (session chair: Susan L. Brantley)
Richard Alley (PSU, member of US National Academies): Ice Sheets and Sea-Level Rise: Constraining the Unknown Unknowns (pdf slides)
Hans Chen (PSU meteorology, graduate student): Nonlinear atmospheric response to Arctic sea-ice loss under different sea ice scenarios (pdf slides)
8:50-9:40am Exoplanet and Martian atmosphere (session chair: Susan L. Brantley)
Jim Kasting (PSU, member of American Academy of Art and Sciences): Climate limit cycling and implications for exoplanet habitability (pdf slides)
Steven Greybush (PSU, meteorology): The atmosphere of Mars: Insights on weather and predictability from ensemble data assimilation of spacecraft observations (pdf slides)
10:10am-11:50am Numerical weather prediction and predictability (session chair: Tsengdar Lee, NASA)
Bill Lapenta (Director of US National Centers for Environmental Prediction): The NCEP Operational Environmental Numerical Guidance System: Big Data on Steroids (pdf slides)
Takemasa Miyoshi (Team leader, Data Assimilation Research Team, RIKEN Advanced Institute for Computational Science, Japan): Big data assimilation for weather prediction
Dave Stensrud (PSU, department head of meteorology): Convection-allowing numerical weather prediction for hazardous weather: Progress and challenges (pdf slides)
Y. Qiang Sun (PSU meteorology, graduate student): Intrinsic versus practical limits of predictability and the significance of the butterfly effect (pdf slides)
1:30-3:10pm New algorithms, optimization, and uncertainty quantification (session chair: Dave Hunter)
Andrew Majda (NYU Courant, member of US National Academies): Multiscale methods for filtering and prediction of complex turbulent systems (pdf slides)
Eugenia Kalnay (U of Maryland, member of US National Academies): Data assimilation for the coupled human-earth system (pdf slides)
John Harlim (PSU mathematics and meteorology): Diffusion forecast: A nonparametric modeling approach (pdf slides)
Jia Li (PSU statistics): Clustering and model integration under the Wasserstein Metric (pdf slides)
3:40-5:20pm Data assimilation, data mining, satellite and remote sensing (session chair: Fuqing Zhang)
Peter Houtekamer (Lead of Ensemble Team at Environmental Canada): Review of the ensemble Kalman filter for atmospheric data assimilation (pdf slides)
Alan Geer (Lead of satellite DA at ECMWF): All-sky assimilation of water-vapour, cloud and precipitation from microwave satellite radiance observations (pdf slides)
Masashi Minamide and Scott Sieron (PSU meteorology, graduate students): Assimilation of all-sky infrared radiance from geostationary satellites and development of microphysics-specific radiative transfer models (pdf slides)
James Wang (PSU College of Information Science and Technology): Storm detection by visual learning using satellite images
5:20-5:50pm Open discussion and concluding remarks (Richard Alley and Fuqing Zhang)
6:30-8:30 Dinner (and ADAPT center advisory board meeting 2)